Econometric model of Russian Federation: analysis and forecasts for 2018 - 2019

the innovation of a statistical model to estimate dependable rainfall (dr) and develop it for determination and classification of drought and wet years of iran

آب حاصل از بارش منبع تأمین نیازهای بی شمار جانداران به ویژه انسان است و هرگونه کاهش در کم و کیف آن مستقیماً حیات موجودات زنده را تحت تأثیر منفی قرار می دهد. نوسان سال به سال بارش از ویژگی های اساسی و بسیار مهم بارش های سالانه ایران محسوب می شود که آثار زیان بار آن در تمام عرصه های اقتصادی، اجتماعی و حتی سیاسی- امنیتی به نحوی منعکس می شود. چون میزان آب ناشی از بارش یکی از مولفه های اصلی برنامه ...

Implication of Bayesian Technique to Improve Econometric Model Forecasts

This study presents the implication of Bayesian technique on simple statistical and econometric forecasting models to improve the forecast performances of the models. We consider a nonlinear, non-stationary time series of household electricity demand to demonstrate the Bayesian implication to statistical techniques. In this forecasting process, the electricity demand is considered a function of...

A Blueprint for the Russian Federation

Poverty in the Russian Federation

This paper is intended to shed light on the extent of poverty in the Russian Federation. We present estimates of poverty lines and poverty ratios derived from subjective questions used in a during data collection for a large household panel (RUSSET). We estimate poverty using a subjective approach, where the level of the poverty line is derived using the opinion of the individual, rich or poor,...

The Russian Federation and Hiv/aids

Since the first case of AIDS was identified in 1985, Russia has maintained a low HIVseroprevalence rate, currently at 0.05. However, there are signs of an emerging HIV/AIDS epidemic fueled by several factors. As of September 1999, a total of 19,105 HIV infections were registered, although the estimated number exceeds 50,000. The most recent trend in HIV/AIDS transmission is through injecting dr...